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Application (pre-grant publication)

REACH AND FREQUENCY FORECAST MODELS

Number
20250371565
Published
2025-12-04
Filed
2025-04-15
Assignee
Disney Enterprises, Inc.
Inventors
STEUBER; Tara L. et al.
CPC
G06Q30/0202; G06Q30/0204
Verdict
Set aside ad/marketing forecast models, business
Source
Google Patents · FreePatentsOnline

Abstract

Embodiments provide for improved machine learning. A first distribution plan for content is accessed, where the first distribution plan comprises a first target segment and identifies a first set of distribution outlets. A base segment corresponding to the target segment is determined, where the target segment is defined based on a plurality of member attributes and the base segment is defined based on a subset of the plurality of member attributes. A set of forecasts is generated using, for each respective distribution outlet of the first set of distribution outlets, a respective machine learning model trained based on the base segment. A forecasted reach metric for the first distribution is generated plan based on the set of forecasts.

Background

BACKGROUND

Reach and frequency are important metrics for a variety of distribution plans, including a wide variety of marketing campaigns. Typically, reach and frequency are calculated post-campaign based on viewers of content compared to the overall potential viewing universe. Forecasting reach and frequency, prior to a campaign, is a challenging problem.

Claims

1. A method, comprising: accessing a first distribution plan for content, wherein the first distribution plan comprises a first target segment and identifies a first set of distribution outlets; determining a base segment corresponding to the target segment, wherein the target segment is defined based on a plurality of member attributes and the base segment is defined based on a subset of the plurality of member attributes; generating a set of forecasts using, for each respective distribution outlet of the first set of distribution outlets, a respective machine learning model trained based on the base segment; and generating a forecasted reach metric for the first distribution plan based on the set of forecasts. || 10. One or more non-transitory computer readable media containing, in any combination, computer program code that, when executed by operation of any combination of one or more processors, performs an operation comprising: accessing a first distribution plan for content, wherein the first distribution plan comprises a first target segment and identifies a first set of distribution outlets; determining a base segment corresponding to the target segment, wherein the target segment is defined based on a plurality of member attributes and the base segment is defined based on a subset of the plurality of member attributes; generating a set of forecasts using, for each respective distribution outlet of the first set of distribution outlets, a respective machine learning model trained based on the base segment; and generating a forecasted reach metric for the first distribution plan based on the set of forecasts. || 16. A system, comprising: one or more processors; and one or more memories storing a program, which, when executed on any combination of the one or more processors, performs operations, the operations comprising: accessing a first distribution plan for content, wherein the first distribution plan comprises a first target segment and identifies a first set of distribution outlets; determining a base segment corresponding to the target segment, wherein the target segment is defined based on a plurality of member attributes and the base segment is defined based on a subset of the plurality of member attributes; generating a set of forecasts using, for each respective distribution outlet of the first set of distribution outlets, a respective machine learning model trained based on the base segment; and generating a forecasted reach metric for the first distribution plan based on the set of forecasts.